Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1307 · SAN → TUS
departs 8:13 PM PT · arrives 10:41 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at TUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TUS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
TUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.