Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1307 · SFO → SAN
departs 6:06 PM PT · arrives 7:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
64%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
64%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from SFO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.