WN 1341 · DAL → MCO

departs 9:41 PM CT · arrives 1:18 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ 9pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DAL that day

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.58 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1341 · DAL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?