Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1387 · LAS → DAL
departs 2:50 PM PT · arrives 7:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed – in 24h
–
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.13 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.