Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1418
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1418 · DAL → STL
departs 9:24 PM CT · arrives 11:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 51%
Thu 11/5 38%
Fri 11/6 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.