Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 142
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 142 · TPA → AUS
departs 6:26 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
62%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
62%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
36%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.62 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.