Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1448
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1448 · DAL → SAN
departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 7:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.