WN 1497 · DAL → STL

departs 2:18 PM CT · arrives 4:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1497 · DAL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?