Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1499 · HNL → LIH
departs 1:39 PM HT · arrives 2:35 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 18%
Wed 11/4 18%
Thu 11/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
LIH (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.