Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1530 · DEN → ABQ
departs 9:28 PM MT · arrives 10:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 36%
Wed 11/4 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 40 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ABQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
ABQ usually runs smoothly
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 40 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.