Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1565
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1565 · SAN → MDW
departs 10:41 PM PT · arrives 4:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SAN is busy at that time
↓
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late
↓
10pm departures from SAN are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,933 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.