Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1576
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1576 · MCI → MCO
departs 8:11 PM CT · arrives 11:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.