Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1583
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1583 · DEN → DTW
departs 7:35 PM MT · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 49%
Wed 11/4 41%
Thu 11/5 52%
Fri 11/6 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Gusts to 33 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.