Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1658
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1658 · SRQ → MCO
departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 8:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.81 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.