Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1682 · LAS → PHX
departs 3:01 PM PT · arrives 5:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
91%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
91%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
91%
Yes 91%
No 9%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
45%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.