Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1692
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1692 · LAS → SJC
departs 2:08 PM PT · arrives 3:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±7 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.