Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1695 · DEN → MTJ
departs 7:06 PM MT · arrives 8:11 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MTJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MTJ?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MTJ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MTJ usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MTJ (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.6 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.