Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1701
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1701 · LAX → DEN
departs 2:41 PM PT · arrives 6:04 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed – in 24h
–
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.