Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1739
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1739 · MSY → ATL
departs 5:21 PM CT · arrives 7:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.84 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.