Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1760
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1760 · MCO → TYS
departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,867 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.36 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,733 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.