Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1765
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1765 · SDF → BNA
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave SDF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SDF (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 567 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.07 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.