Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1783 · LAS → TUL
departs 8:16 PM PT · arrives 12:57 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.21 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.