Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1883
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1883 · LAS → SAN
departs 10:31 PM PT · arrives 11:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.21 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.