Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1884
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1884 · SJC → LAX
departs 10:19 PM PT · arrives 11:41 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
10pm departures from SJC are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.