Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1901
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1901 · TPA → BHM
departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 6:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±5 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,767 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.62 in
BHM (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 933 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.