Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1912
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 1912 · GRR → BNA
departs 4:46 PM ET · arrives 5:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave GRR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
GRR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GRR (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.