WN 1930 · MDW → SJC

departs 9:09 PM CT · arrives 12:06 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SJC (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1930 · MDW → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?