Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1962 · SAN → LAS
departs 4:36 PM PT · arrives 6:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 53% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.56 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.