Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1973
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 1973 · SFO → SAN
departs 10:36 PM PT · arrives 12:16 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±10 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.