Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 198 · LGB → PHX
departs 7:14 PM PT · arrives 9:39 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 26%
Thu 11/5 32%
Fri 11/6 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±12 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LGB that day
↓
LGB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.28 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.