Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2003 · DEN → HDN
departs 7:25 PM MT · arrives 8:22 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1
Odds over time
Arrive at HDN more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HDN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 54% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at HDN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HDN?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at HDN that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HDN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.