Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2014 · HOU → BNA
departs 6:24 PM CT · arrives 8:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 67%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 35%
Wed 11/4 30%
Thu 11/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.