Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2036
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2036 · MDW → SRQ
departs 8:16 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,033 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.