Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2043 · HOU → ELP
departs 10:24 PM CT · arrives 11:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 39%
Thu 11/5 45%
Fri 11/6 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
ELP (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.