Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 206 · DAL → LAX
departs 10:06 PM CT · arrives 11:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±11 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.