Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2100
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2100 · HOU → MSY
departs 8:45 PM CT · arrives 10:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 31%
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.