Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2167
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2167 · LAS → LAX
departs 2:54 PM PT · arrives 4:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
77%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
77%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed – in 24h
–
77%
Yes 77%
No 23%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed – in 24h
–
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.