Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2190 · LAX → BNA
departs 1:46 PM PT · arrives 7:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.29 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.73 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.