Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2193 · MCO → PIT
departs 9:21 PM ET · arrives 11:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.