Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2211
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2211 · SAN → LAS
departs 10:36 PM PT · arrives 12:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
10pm departures from SAN are usually not late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.77 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.