Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 223
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 223 · LAX → LAS
departs 4:41 PM PT · arrives 6:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±8 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.26 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.