Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2266
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2266 · LAS → BNA
departs 7:19 PM PT · arrives 12:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 41%
Thu 11/5 35%
Fri 11/6 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.