Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2271
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1
WN 2271 · OGG → LIH
departs 1:21 PM HT · arrives 2:31 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from OGG are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at OGG that day
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.