Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2282 · DAL → TPA
departs 8:36 PM CT · arrives 12:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
8pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.