Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2285
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2285 · LAS → DEN
departs 9:09 PM PT · arrives 12:01 AM MT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 33%
Thu 11/5 37%
Fri 11/6 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
9pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.21 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.