Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2351
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2351 · LAS → OAK
departs 6:31 PM PT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 39%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 41%
Fri 11/6 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±5 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
67%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.18 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.