WN 2374 · LAS → MCO

departs 10:48 PM PT · arrives 6:03 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are usually not late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.24 in

MCO (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.58 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2374 · LAS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?