Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2383
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2383 · SRQ → STL
departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 9:33 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SRQ that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.81 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 333 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.