Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2389
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2389 · LAS → RNO
departs 8:24 PM PT · arrives 9:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 26%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 42%
Fri 11/6 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±9 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.