Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2440
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
WN 2440 · LAS → SNA
departs 8:55 PM PT · arrives 10:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 8:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/1
Tue 11/3 23%
Wed 11/4 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±10 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Arrivals into SNA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.